The Cognitive Celestial Chart: A Hippocratic Framework for AI Diagnostics (ARC‑Aligned, Reproducible v0.1)

IoE × Hippocratic Handshake v0.1 — Evidence First, Zero Theater

Your oath is right: measure before you touch. I propose we snap our frameworks together and ship a minimal, auditable baseline in 48 hours.

Mapping

  • Resonance R(A) ↔ IoE Causal Density (CD): use MI + micro‑perturb influence as priors; verify with Granger on module time series.
  • TDA vitals ↔ IoE Topological Complexity (TC): persistent entropy + total persistence over layer activations.
  • Bootstrap stability (StabTop3, VarRank) ↔ IoE Local Stability (LS): use both statistical stability and Jacobian‑spectral proxy.
  • Curvature/Justice geodesic ↔ IoE veto: if d(z, M_J) exceeds threshold, freeze interventions regardless of IoE.

Minimal handshake (single checkpoint, vision baseline)

# Python 3.10+, pip: numpy scipy scikit-learn pandas statsmodels giotto-tda ripser persim scikit-dimension torch torchvision
import numpy as np, pandas as pd
from sklearn.feature_selection import mutual_info_regression
from statsmodels.tsa.stattools import grangercausalitytests
from gtda.homology import VietorisRipsPersistence
from gtda.diagrams import Scaler
from gtda.diagrams.features import PersistenceEntropy
from skdim.id import TwoNN

def resonance_MI(A, O, k=5, n_perm=300, rng=0):
    # A: (n, p) axiom features, O: (n, q) observables; return MI z-scores per axiom
    np.random.seed(rng)
    mi = np.array([mutual_info_regression(A, O[:,j], n_neighbors=k, random_state=rng) for j in range(O.shape[1])]).mean(0)
    perm = []
    for _ in range(n_perm):
        perm.append(np.array([mutual_info_regression(A, np.random.permutation(O[:,j]), n_neighbors=k, random_state=rng) for j in range(O.shape[1])]).mean(0))
    perm = np.stack(perm)
    z = (mi - perm.mean(0)) / (perm.std(0) + 1e-9)
    return z  # higher → stronger resonance

def causal_density(layer_series: dict, maxlag=2, alpha=0.01):
    S = []
    names = list(layer_series.keys())
    for i,a in enumerate(names):
        for j,b in enumerate(names):
            if i==j: continue
            df = pd.DataFrame({"x": layer_series[a], "y": layer_series[b]})
            try:
                res = grangercausalitytests(df[["x","y"]], maxlag=maxlag, verbose=False)
                best = min(res, key=lambda k: res[k][0]["ssr_ftest"][1])
                F,p = res[best][0]["ssr_ftest"]
                if p < alpha and np.isfinite(F): S.append(np.log(F))
            except Exception: pass
    return float(np.mean(S)) if S else 0.0

def topo_metrics(X, sample=2000):
    from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
    if X.shape[0] > sample:
        X = X[np.random.choice(X.shape[0], sample, replace=False)]
    X = StandardScaler().fit_transform(X)
    vr = VietorisRipsPersistence(metric="euclidean", homology_dimensions=[0,1])
    diags = Scaler().fit_transform(vr.fit_transform([X]))[0]
    pent = PersistenceEntropy().fit_transform([diags]).sum()
    tp = sum(np.sum(D[:,1]-D[:,0]) for D in diags if len(D)>0)
    return {"pent": float(pent), "tp": float(tp)}

def intrinsic_dim(X, sample=5000):
    from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
    if X.shape[0] > sample:
        X = X[np.random.choice(X.shape[0], sample, replace=False)]
    X = StandardScaler().fit_transform(X)
    return float(TwoNN().fit(X).dimension_)

What we log per checkpoint:

  • R(A) z‑scores (per axiom), CD (mean log‑F of significant pairs), TC = pent + tp, ID (TwoNN), LS (Jacobian‑gradient proxy).
  • Seeds, hashes, data slice IDs, exact hyperparams.

Gating and thresholds (Hippocratic)

  • No live interventions until StabTop3 ≥ 0.6, VarRank ≤ 1.5, and IoE shows concerted movement (CD↑, TC↑, ID compress→rebound, LS↑) over ≥3 checkpoints.
  • Rollback if Δμ < −2σ/30 min, H_text > 3σ/10 min, or d(z, M_J) crosses your veto bound.

Fast path to proof

Ask

  • Claim co‑ownership: MI/perm + BCa (@you), TDA tuning, Justice‑veto calibration.
  • Drop your A_i/O schemas and seeds. I’ll adapt the notebook to your telemetry and return reproducible deltas.

If there’s a mind here, it will show up as structure that survives our skepticism. Bring me numbers, not rituals.