Report · Checked 2 Nov 2026 · Published 9 Nov 2026
Multi-LLM and Multi-Prompt Strategies for COVID-19 Infodemic Detection in Chinese Social Media: An Empirical Evaluation · Agents4Science 2025, accepted paper
Bottom line · from claim 1 of 6: The paper's own evidence supports the main result. We did not rerun it.
The 61.2% average matches the mean of the 50 values printed in Figure 2, and the best and worst cases agree. As the paper says, every test post is false, so this measures flagging, not telling true from false.
Average lenient accuracy, 50 model-prompt conditions (higher is better)
- Paper
- 61.2%
- We got
- 61.2%
Same value
Method: Recomputed from the values the paper prints; Re-analysis of shipped outputs
Claims, one verdict each
Each claim is quoted from the paper or its repository. Claim 1 is the main result; the bottom line comes from its verdict only. Open “Evidence” for the numbers, code and log lines behind each verdict.
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01Supported: Average lenient accuracy
Re-analysis of shipped outputs
Paper: Across all experiments, the average lenient accuracy was 61.2%, with a low overall ambiguity rate (<2%).
Abstract, Results; Section 3.1
The paper prints all 50 per-condition values in Figure 2 (10 models, 5 prompting strategies). Their mean is 61.23% lenient accuracy, 48.05% strict accuracy and 1.89% ambiguity. These match the paper's 61.2%, 48.0% and "under 2%".
Evidence: lenient accuracy (%) for each model and prompt, as printed in Figure 2
Columns use the paper's names: S1 no role, S2 public-health expert, S3 respiratory specialist, S4 public-health expert + source/date, S5 respiratory specialist + source/date.
Model S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 GPT-4o 52.8 53.3 43.3 47.2 41.1 DeepSeek-R1 57.2 64.5 60.8 58.9 56.9 DeepSeek-V3 58.9 63.9 58.4 59.4 50.6 Doubao-Seed 77.7 82.7 76.1 73.4 71.2 Gemini-2.5 69.7 81.1 73.0 67.0 63.9 GLM-4 AirX 85.5 70.8 66.4 58.4 52.5 Llama-4 43.6 50.9 52.0 41.6 40.8 Mistral-L 41.9 53.1 54.1 44.2 39.2 Qwen3-235B 51.2 61.7 54.5 58.4 53.3 Qwen3-Thinking 90.0 89.1 84.5 81.1 79.5 Mean of the 50 values: 61.23%. As a check on our reading of the figure, in every one of the 50 conditions lenient accuracy, error rate and ambiguity rate add up to 100.0% (±0.1), as they must, because the five labels split into these three groups.
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02Supported: Best configuration
Re-analysis of shipped outputs
Paper: in the best configuration, ≈ 84% strict and ≈ 90% lenient accuracy on this all-misinformation benchmark.
Abstract, Results; Section 5
The highest lenient accuracy in Figure 2 is 90.0% (Qwen3-235B-Thinking, no role prompt), with 84.2% strict accuracy in the same condition. The highest strict accuracy anywhere is 86.2% (same model, public-health expert prompt), with 89.1% lenient.
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03Supported: Conservative models accept over half
Re-analysis of shipped outputs
Paper: more conservative models incorrectly accepted over 50% of false posts.
Abstract, Results
In 9 of the 50 conditions the error rate (posts labelled likely true or true) is above 50%. They belong to 3 models: GPT-4o (up to 56.9%), Llama-4 Maverick (up to 56.9%) and Mistral-Large (up to 58.3%).
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04Supported, lenient chance level is 40%: Above chance
Checked derivation
Paper: Q1 (Feasibility): Do off-the-shelf LLMs exceed a uniform-guessing baseline (20% over five options) on Chinese COVID-19 misinformation?
Section 1, question Q1; Section 3.1
Under the paper's own definitions (Section 2.4), a uniform guess over the five labels scores 20% strict accuracy but 40% lenient accuracy, because lenient accuracy credits two of the five labels. The averages, 48.0% strict and 61.2% lenient, are above both levels. One condition is not: Mistral-Large with S5 (respiratory specialist + source/date), at 39.2% lenient.
Every post in the benchmark is misinformation (Section 2.1), so an answer of "False" to every post would score 100%. Here, above-chance accuracy shows how often models flag misinformation. It cannot show how well they tell misinformation apart from true posts, because the benchmark has none. The paper itself describes the benchmark as all misinformation.
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05Minor defect: Table 2 description
Checked derivation
Paper: Table 2 compares S1 (no-role) vs. S5 (respiratory-specialist + source/date) within each model, reporting percentage-point changes in lenient accuracy and ambiguity.
Section 3.3 and Table 2
Table 2 reports composite scores and ambiguity rates for S1 and S5, as its caption says, not percentage-point changes in lenient accuracy. The table's values agree with Figure 2: all 10 pairs of ambiguity rates match the figure exactly, and all 20 composite scores fall inside the range that the figure's strict, lenient and error rates allow.
To change this verdict: correct the sentence, or add the lenient-accuracy changes to the table.
Evidence: how the composite scores were checked
The composite score (Section 2.4) is (2·N1 + N2 − N4 − 2·N5) / N. Figure 2 gives N1 (strict), N1 + N2 (lenient) and N4 + N5 (error), but not how errors split between labels 4 and 5. So each score must fall between (2·strict + (lenient − strict) − 2·error) / 100 and (2·strict + (lenient − strict) − error) / 100. All 20 scores in Table 2 do. For example, GPT-4o with no role prompt: 0.133 falls in [−0.082, 0.349].
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06Not checked: Reproducible release
Paper: (4) A reproducible release (prompts, code, judging templates, redacted logs) to support Chinese-language infodemic monitoring and future replication.
Abstract, Contributions; Section 2.5
The paper does not give a link to the release. The venue page lists a supplementary file. Its download is behind an automated browser check, so we did not open it.
To change this verdict: send us a public link to the release, or tell us if it is the supplementary file.
What we did not check
These limits carry the same weight as the findings above.
- We did not rerun anything. The experiments queried commercial model services, and we did not query any model again.
- The figure values are our reading. We read the 200 values in Figure 2 by eye. The sum check above tests our reading, not the paper's underlying counts.
- True posts. The benchmark has no true posts, so nothing here measures how often a model wrongly flags a true post.
- The judge. In the paper, one model maps each answer to one of the five labels. We did not check how often it agrees with human labelling.
- Sections 3.4 to 3.6 and Figures 3 and 4 (persona comparison, box plots, trend over time) were not checked.
- The supplementary file was not opened, because its download is behind an automated browser check.
- The rest of the paper. This report checks the claims listed above, looks up every entry in the reference list and reruns code only where it says so. It is not a full review of the paper. For comments on the whole paper, you can use a general AI review tool yourself; Google's Deep Review (https://research.google/deepreview/) offers free weekly reviews with a Google account.
How we checked
- Paper
https://openreview.net/forum?id=zYDXTzql3n (PDF sha256 7134349c257391b4866b44cb47bd72a2a9d7a150cbb477854cb0336b9c020122)
- Values
Figure 2 (four panels, 50 conditions each) and Table 2, read from the paper and typed into a table.
- Computation
a short script computes the means, maxima, counts, the sum check and the composite-score ranges.
- Time spent
about 11 minutes, from starting the claim list to finishing this draft.
- Outputs and logs
the typed table, the script and its output are published with this report: outputs.
References
- Found
13
- Matched automatically
11
- Not matched
2
- Checked by hand
2. Both are real works our tool missed: a 2017 Council of Europe report on information disorder, and a book on social media and democracy from Princeton University Press.
- Could not find
0
Author reply
We sent a draft of this report on 2026-11-03 to the 7 author addresses printed in the paper and asked for a reply by 2026-11-08 23:59 UTC. We received no reply by 2026-11-08 23:59 UTC. If a reply comes later, we will add it here, with its date. Replies and corrections go to hello@cybernative.ai.
Changes to this report
| Date | Claim | Old verdict | New verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | (none; a note) | — | — | A reader-agent cross-check noted two range statements that disagree with the paper's own Table 2 and Figure 2: §3.2 says ambiguity is "∼1-3%" while Table 2 S1 gives 4.1–6.6% for four models; §3.3 gives Qwen3-235B-Thinking "14-32%" error while Figure 2 gives 8.8% (S1) and 9.7% (S2). Figure 3 was not checked and may define the range differently. No verdict changes. |
| 2026-11-09 | What we did not check | — | — | Added after we sent the draft to the authors: sentences saying this report is not a full review of the paper and where to get a whole-paper AI review. |